BYD historial de movimiento esperado Boyd Gaming Corporation
Cada día de negociación, tras el cierre, registramos lo que el mercado de opciones estaba descontando — por vencimiento, antes de conocerse el resultado. Cuando un vencimiento finaliza, el resultado se anota junto a la estimación original. Las estimaciones nunca se revisan a posteriori. Cómo interpretar estas estadísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparaciones resueltas43
Cierre dentro del rango37%
|Real| por debajo de lo esperado37%
Movimiento esperado promedio±4.9%
Movimiento |real| promedio5.5%
Error medio abs.2.0pt
Implícita vs realizada, por vencimiento
Para cada vencimiento: el contorno ámbar es el movimiento esperado registrado más cerca del vencimiento; la barra sólida es lo que la acción hizo realmente. Los valores con signo aparecen bajo las barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Registrado actualmente (pendiente de resultado)
| Instantánea | Vence | DTE | Precio entonces | Movimiento esperado | Rango | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Nov 20 | 32 | 70.96 | ±7.5% | 65.61–76.31 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 70.04 | ±7.8% | 64.59–75.49 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 69.70 | ±7.8% | 64.28–75.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Nov 20 | 38 | 70.46 | ±7.6% | 65.14–75.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Nov 20 | 42 | 68.93 | ±8.8% | 62.88–74.98 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Nov 20 | 43 | 70.00 | ±8.2% | 64.22–75.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Nov 20 | 44 | 69.00 | ±8.8% | 62.92–75.08 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Nov 20 | 45 | 70.41 | ±9.1% | 63.98–76.83 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Nov 20 | 46 | 68.71 | ±8.7% | 62.76–74.66 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Nov 20 | 49 | 67.25 | ±9.4% | 60.90–73.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Nov 20 | 50 | 66.07 | ±10.4% | 59.22–72.92 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Nov 20 | 58 | 72.08 | ±8.9% | 65.63–78.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Nov 20 | 59 | 72.58 | ±9.3% | 65.81–79.36 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Nov 20 | 60 | 72.97 | ±10.0% | 65.67–80.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Nov 20 | 63 | 73.67 | ±10.2% | 66.17–81.17 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Dec 18 | 60 | 70.96 | ±9.3% | 64.36–77.56 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Dec 18 | 63 | 70.04 | ±9.4% | 63.44–76.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Dec 18 | 65 | 69.70 | ±9.7% | 62.92–76.47 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Dec 18 | 66 | 70.46 | ±9.4% | 63.86–77.06 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Dec 18 | 70 | 68.93 | ±10.2% | 61.93–75.93 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Dec 18 | 71 | 70.00 | ±10.1% | 62.92–77.08 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Dec 18 | 72 | 69.00 | ±11.1% | 61.35–76.65 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Dec 18 | 73 | 70.41 | ±10.5% | 62.98–77.83 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Dec 18 | 74 | 68.71 | ±10.5% | 61.51–75.91 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Dec 18 | 77 | 67.25 | ±10.6% | 60.15–74.35 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Dec 18 | 78 | 66.07 | ±11.8% | 58.27–73.87 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Dec 18 | 86 | 72.08 | ±11.6% | 63.73–80.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Dec 18 | 87 | 72.58 | ±10.8% | 64.75–80.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Dec 18 | 88 | 72.97 | ±11.0% | 64.97–80.97 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Dec 18 | 91 | 73.67 | ±11.5% | 65.22–82.12 | em-1.0 |
Instantáneas resueltas
| Instantánea | Vencido | Esperado | Real | ¿Dentro del rango? | Precio → cierre |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.1% | +0.0% | dentro | 70.04 → 70.04 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.2% | +0.5% | dentro | 69.70 → 70.04 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.3% | -0.6% | dentro | 70.46 → 70.04 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.9% | +1.6% | dentro | 68.93 → 70.04 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.0% | +0.1% | dentro | 70.00 → 70.04 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | +1.5% | dentro | 69.00 → 70.04 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | -0.5% | dentro | 70.41 → 70.04 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | +1.9% | dentro | 68.71 → 70.04 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.2% | +4.1% | dentro | 67.25 → 70.04 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.3% | +6.0% | fuera | 66.07 → 70.04 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | -2.8% | dentro | 72.08 → 70.04 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.5% | -3.5% | dentro | 72.58 → 70.04 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | -4.0% | dentro | 72.97 → 70.04 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.4% | -4.9% | dentro | 73.67 → 70.04 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -7.4% | fuera | 75.60 → 70.04 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -7.4% | fuera | 75.60 → 70.04 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | -9.2% | fuera | 77.15 → 70.04 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | -9.2% | fuera | 77.15 → 70.04 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | -9.0% | fuera | 77.00 → 70.04 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.0% | -7.6% | fuera | 75.80 → 70.04 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | -8.5% | fuera | 76.52 → 70.04 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | -10.2% | fuera | 78.02 → 70.04 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | -10.2% | fuera | 78.02 → 70.04 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | -10.0% | fuera | 77.79 → 70.04 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -8.7% | fuera | 76.69 → 70.04 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | -8.8% | fuera | 76.80 → 70.04 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -9.7% | fuera | 77.59 → 70.04 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.9% | -11.9% | fuera | 79.47 → 70.04 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.4% | -0.9% | dentro | 73.67 → 72.97 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.4% | -3.5% | fuera | 75.60 → 72.97 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.4% | -3.5% | fuera | 75.60 → 72.97 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.3% | -5.4% | fuera | 77.15 → 72.97 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.3% | -5.4% | fuera | 77.15 → 72.97 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.4% | -5.2% | fuera | 77.00 → 72.97 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.3% | -3.7% | dentro | 75.80 → 72.97 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.2% | -4.6% | fuera | 76.52 → 72.97 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.6% | -6.5% | fuera | 78.02 → 72.97 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.6% | -6.5% | fuera | 78.02 → 72.97 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.1% | -6.2% | fuera | 77.79 → 72.97 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.8% | -4.9% | fuera | 76.69 → 72.97 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.2% | -5.0% | dentro | 76.80 → 72.97 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.2% | -6.0% | fuera | 77.59 → 72.97 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.8% | -8.2% | fuera | 79.47 → 72.97 |
Los resultados comparan el rango registrado con el precio de cierre en el día de expiración. La versión del método se muestra por fila cuando difiere; actual: em-1.0.