BLK 预期波动历史 BlackRock, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项93
收盘价处于区间内73%
|实际值| 低于预期值73%
平均预期波动幅度±3.9%
平均|实际|波动幅度2.7%
平均绝对误差1.9pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 1,134.38 | ±0.6% | 1,127.70–1,141.06 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 1,066.16 | ±2.8% | 1,036.61–1,095.71 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 1,066.12 | ±4.8% | 1,014.92–1,117.32 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 1,083.24 | ±4.9% | 1,030.64–1,135.84 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 1,064.06 | ±5.6% | 1,004.51–1,123.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 1,067.49 | ±5.2% | 1,012.04–1,122.94 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 1,081.61 | ±5.2% | 1,025.11–1,138.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 1,073.02 | ±5.6% | 1,012.77–1,133.27 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 1,063.59 | ±6.0% | 999.99–1,127.19 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 1,064.62 | ±6.1% | 999.38–1,129.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 1,066.66 | ±6.3% | 999.01–1,134.31 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 1,090.27 | ±6.4% | 1,020.27–1,160.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 1,089.03 | ±6.4% | 1,019.23–1,158.83 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 1,067.23 | ±6.5% | 997.38–1,137.08 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 1,037.24 | ±7.2% | 963.04–1,111.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 1,051.00 | ±6.8% | 979.65–1,122.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 1,065.60 | ±6.9% | 991.75–1,139.45 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 1,066.08 | ±6.9% | 992.23–1,139.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 1,081.39 | ±6.9% | 1,006.54–1,156.24 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 1,072.03 | ±7.2% | 994.38–1,149.68 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 1,095.37 | ±7.3% | 1,014.92–1,175.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 1,106.47 | ±7.4% | 1,024.88–1,188.08 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 1,122.29 | ±7.3% | 1,040.19–1,204.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 1,126.15 | ±7.4% | 1,043.00–1,209.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 1,111.99 | ±7.5% | 1,029.04–1,194.94 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 1,129.74 | ±7.4% | 1,046.24–1,213.24 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 1,155.61 | ±7.4% | 1,070.66–1,240.56 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 1,153.40 | ±7.5% | 1,066.95–1,239.86 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 1,134.38 | ±3.3% | 1,096.53–1,172.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 1,066.16 | ±4.2% | 1,021.46–1,110.86 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.4% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 1,083.24 → 1,082.39 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.5% | +1.7% | 区间外 | 1,064.06 → 1,082.39 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.0% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 1,067.49 → 1,082.39 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.2% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 1,081.61 → 1,082.39 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.5% | +0.9% | 区间内 | 1,073.02 → 1,082.39 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | +1.8% | 区间内 | 1,063.59 → 1,082.39 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.3% | +1.7% | 区间内 | 1,064.62 → 1,082.39 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | +1.5% | 区间内 | 1,066.66 → 1,082.39 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -0.7% | 区间内 | 1,090.27 → 1,082.39 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 1,089.03 → 1,082.39 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 1,067.23 → 1,082.39 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.5% | +4.4% | 区间内 | 1,037.24 → 1,082.39 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | +3.0% | 区间内 | 1,051.00 → 1,082.39 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | +1.6% | 区间内 | 1,065.60 → 1,082.39 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | +1.5% | 区间内 | 1,066.08 → 1,082.39 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 1,081.39 → 1,082.39 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 1,072.03 → 1,082.39 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 1,095.37 → 1,082.39 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 1,106.47 → 1,082.39 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 1,122.29 → 1,082.39 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | -3.9% | 区间内 | 1,126.15 → 1,082.39 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 1,111.99 → 1,082.39 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | -4.2% | 区间内 | 1,129.74 → 1,082.39 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | -6.3% | 区间外 | 1,155.61 → 1,082.39 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | -6.2% | 区间内 | 1,153.40 → 1,082.39 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.7% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 1,063.59 → 1,059.63 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.5% | -0.5% | 区间内 | 1,064.62 → 1,059.63 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.9% | -0.7% | 区间内 | 1,066.66 → 1,059.63 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.8% | -2.8% | 区间内 | 1,090.27 → 1,059.63 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.9% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 1,089.03 → 1,059.63 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.0% | -0.7% | 区间内 | 1,067.23 → 1,059.63 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.6% | +2.2% | 区间内 | 1,037.24 → 1,059.63 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.6% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 1,051.00 → 1,059.63 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.8% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 1,065.60 → 1,059.63 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.8% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 1,066.08 → 1,059.63 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.8% | -2.0% | 区间内 | 1,081.39 → 1,059.63 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.3% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 1,072.03 → 1,059.63 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.3% | -3.3% | 区间内 | 1,095.37 → 1,059.63 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.4% | -4.2% | 区间内 | 1,106.47 → 1,059.63 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.3% | -5.6% | 区间外 | 1,122.29 → 1,059.63 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.6% | -5.9% | 区间外 | 1,126.15 → 1,059.63 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.6% | -4.7% | 区间内 | 1,111.99 → 1,059.63 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.6% | -6.2% | 区间外 | 1,129.74 → 1,059.63 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.6% | -8.3% | 区间外 | 1,155.61 → 1,059.63 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.7% | -8.1% | 区间外 | 1,153.40 → 1,059.63 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.1% | +1.8% | 区间内 | 1,066.66 → 1,086.31 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.5% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 1,090.27 → 1,086.31 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.5% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 1,089.03 → 1,086.31 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.8% | +1.8% | 区间内 | 1,067.23 → 1,086.31 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.6% | +4.7% | 区间外 | 1,037.24 → 1,086.31 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.7% | +3.4% | 区间内 | 1,051.00 → 1,086.31 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.7% | +1.9% | 区间内 | 1,065.60 → 1,086.31 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.7% | +1.9% | 区间内 | 1,066.08 → 1,086.31 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.8% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 1,081.39 → 1,086.31 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.4% | +1.3% | 区间内 | 1,072.03 → 1,086.31 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.5% | -0.8% | 区间内 | 1,095.37 → 1,086.31 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.6% | -1.8% | 区间内 | 1,106.47 → 1,086.31 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.7% | -3.2% | 区间内 | 1,122.29 → 1,086.31 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.8% | -3.5% | 区间内 | 1,126.15 → 1,086.31 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.9% | -2.3% | 区间内 | 1,111.99 → 1,086.31 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.