BLK expected-move history BlackRock, Inc.
Every trading day after the close we record what the options market was pricing — per expiration, before the outcome was known. When an expiration passes, the outcome is written next to the original estimate. Estimates are never revised after the fact. How to read these statistics · recording since Aug 31, 2026
No expirations have resolved yet — the first snapshots were recorded on Aug 31, 2026. Outcomes appear here as expirations pass; nothing is backfilled or simulated.
Currently recorded (awaiting outcome)
| Snapshot | Expires | DTE | Spot then | Expected move | Range | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 02 | Sep 04 | 2 | 1,129.74 | ±1.9% | 1,108.64–1,150.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 04 | 3 | 1,155.61 | ±2.1% | 1,130.76–1,180.46 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 04 | 4 | 1,153.40 | ±2.3% | 1,126.65–1,180.15 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 11 | 9 | 1,129.74 | ±3.0% | 1,096.04–1,163.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 11 | 10 | 1,155.61 | ±3.2% | 1,118.56–1,192.66 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 11 | 11 | 1,153.40 | ±3.3% | 1,115.81–1,191.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 18 | 16 | 1,129.74 | ±3.9% | 1,085.74–1,173.74 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 18 | 17 | 1,155.61 | ±4.1% | 1,108.26–1,202.96 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 18 | 18 | 1,153.40 | ±4.1% | 1,105.81–1,201.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 25 | 23 | 1,129.74 | ±4.8% | 1,075.74–1,183.74 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 25 | 24 | 1,155.61 | ±4.9% | 1,099.51–1,211.71 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 25 | 25 | 1,153.40 | ±5.0% | 1,095.95–1,210.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 02 | 30 | 1,129.74 | ±5.6% | 1,066.94–1,192.54 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 02 | 31 | 1,155.61 | ±5.6% | 1,090.56–1,220.66 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 02 | 32 | 1,153.40 | ±5.7% | 1,087.76–1,219.06 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 09 | 37 | 1,129.74 | ±6.2% | 1,059.39–1,200.09 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 09 | 38 | 1,155.61 | ±6.3% | 1,083.21–1,228.01 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 09 | 39 | 1,153.40 | ±6.4% | 1,080.06–1,226.76 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 1,129.74 | ±7.4% | 1,046.24–1,213.24 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 1,155.61 | ±7.4% | 1,070.66–1,240.56 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 1,153.40 | ±7.5% | 1,066.95–1,239.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Nov 20 | 79 | 1,129.74 | ±9.8% | 1,018.79–1,240.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Nov 20 | 80 | 1,155.61 | ±9.9% | 1,041.46–1,269.76 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Nov 20 | 81 | 1,153.40 | ±9.9% | 1,039.31–1,267.51 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Dec 18 | 107 | 1,129.74 | ±11.5% | 1,000.14–1,259.34 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Dec 18 | 108 | 1,155.61 | ±11.3% | 1,025.56–1,285.66 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Dec 18 | 109 | 1,153.40 | ±11.4% | 1,021.86–1,284.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Jan 15 | 135 | 1,129.74 | ±12.8% | 985.09–1,274.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Jan 15 | 136 | 1,155.61 | ±12.8% | 1,007.56–1,303.66 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Jan 15 | 137 | 1,153.40 | ±12.7% | 1,006.36–1,300.45 | em-1.0 |