BKR riwayat pergerakan yang diperkirakan Baker Hughes Company
Setiap hari perdagangan setelah penutupan, kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi — per expirasi, sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Ketika suatu expirasi berlalu, hasilnya ditulis di samping estimasi awal. Estimasi tidak pernah direvisi setelah fakta terjadi. Cara membaca statistik ini · merekam sejak Aug 31, 2026
Perbandingan terselesaikan15
Tutup dalam rentang47%
|Aktual| di bawah ekspektasi47%
Rata-rata pergerakan yang diperkirakan±4.6%
Rata-rata pergerakan |aktual|6.2%
Rata-rata kesalahan absolut3.7pt
Implied vs realized, per kedaluwarsa
Untuk setiap expirasi: garis tepi berwarna kuning adalah pergerakan yang diharapkan yang dicatat paling dekat dengan expirasi; batang padat adalah pergerakan saham yang sebenarnya terjadi. Nilai bertanda dicetak di bawah batang.
ekspektasi (direkam)aktual
Sedang dicatat (menunggu hasil)
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | DTE | Spot saat itu | Pergerakan yang diharapkan | Rentang | Metode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 55.70 | ±1.4% | 54.90–56.50 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 55.37 | ±2.2% | 54.17–56.57 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 56.45 | ±3.5% | 54.50–58.40 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 56.60 | ±4.3% | 54.15–59.05 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 56.30 | ±4.4% | 53.85–58.75 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 55.51 | ±4.2% | 53.18–57.83 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 57.13 | ±5.5% | 54.01–60.26 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 57.38 | ±5.7% | 54.13–60.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 56.14 | ±5.2% | 53.22–59.06 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 55.75 | ±5.4% | 52.75–58.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 57.24 | ±7.6% | 52.89–61.59 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 57.26 | ±7.6% | 52.91–61.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 57.85 | ±7.6% | 53.48–62.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 57.33 | ±8.0% | 52.73–61.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 56.56 | ±7.8% | 52.16–60.97 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 56.30 | ±8.5% | 51.52–61.08 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 56.74 | ±8.6% | 51.84–61.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 56.81 | ±8.7% | 51.88–61.73 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 58.96 | ±8.4% | 54.03–63.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 59.52 | ±8.5% | 54.47–64.57 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 63.64 | ±8.6% | 58.14–69.14 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 63.65 | ±9.0% | 57.95–69.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 63.34 | ±9.2% | 57.54–69.14 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 63.42 | ±9.1% | 57.62–69.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 63.66 | ±9.0% | 57.94–69.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 64.71 | ±8.8% | 58.98–70.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 63.78 | ±9.3% | 57.83–69.73 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 63.66 | ±9.6% | 57.53–69.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 55.70 | ±9.3% | 50.52–60.88 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 55.37 | ±9.3% | 50.24–60.49 | em-1.0 |
Snapshot yang telah diselesaikan
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | Diharapkan | Aktual | Dalam kisaran? | Spot → penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.3% | -0.1% | di dalam | 57.33 → 57.25 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.2% | +1.2% | di dalam | 56.56 → 57.25 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.0% | +1.7% | di dalam | 56.30 → 57.25 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.9% | +0.9% | di dalam | 56.74 → 57.25 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.4% | +0.8% | di dalam | 56.81 → 57.25 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.0% | -2.9% | di dalam | 58.96 → 57.25 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.3% | -3.8% | di dalam | 59.52 → 57.25 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.8% | -10.0% | di luar | 63.64 → 57.25 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.0% | -10.1% | di luar | 63.65 → 57.25 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.1% | -9.6% | di luar | 63.34 → 57.25 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.3% | -9.7% | di luar | 63.42 → 57.25 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.2% | -10.1% | di luar | 63.66 → 57.25 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.1% | -11.5% | di luar | 64.71 → 57.25 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.5% | -10.2% | di luar | 63.78 → 57.25 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.2% | -10.1% | di luar | 63.66 → 57.25 |
Hasil membandingkan rentang yang tercatat dengan harga penutupan pada hari kedaluwarsa. Versi metode ditampilkan per baris jika berbeda; saat ini: em-1.0.