BITO 预期波动历史 ProShares Bitcoin ETF
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项139
收盘价处于区间内75%
|实际值| 低于预期值75%
平均预期波动幅度±7.2%
平均|实际|波动幅度4.6%
平均绝对误差3.7pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 10.95 | ±3.0% | 10.62–11.28 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 10.84 | ±3.9% | 10.42–11.26 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 10.90 | ±4.5% | 10.41–11.39 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 11.13 | ±4.6% | 10.62–11.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 11.04 | ±5.9% | 10.39–11.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 10.91 | ±6.0% | 10.26–11.56 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 11.13 | ±6.2% | 10.44–11.82 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 11.44 | ±7.3% | 10.61–12.28 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 11.47 | ±7.1% | 10.66–12.28 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 11.44 | ±6.8% | 10.66–12.22 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 11.32 | ±6.8% | 10.54–12.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 11.59 | ±16.8% | 9.64–13.54 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 11.59 | ±16.8% | 9.64–13.54 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 11.64 | ±17.8% | 9.56–13.71 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 10.52 | ±8.0% | 9.68–11.36 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 10.26 | ±8.2% | 9.42–11.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 10.22 | ±14.9% | 8.70–11.74 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 10.18 | ±10.8% | 9.09–11.28 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 10.60 | ±11.1% | 9.42–11.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 10.57 | ±11.3% | 9.38–11.77 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 10.37 | ±20.3% | 8.26–12.48 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 10.59 | ±12.3% | 9.29–11.89 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 10.57 | ±12.7% | 9.22–11.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 10.74 | ±12.0% | 9.45–12.03 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 10.92 | ±19.6% | 8.78–13.06 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 10.85 | ±22.1% | 8.45–13.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 10.95 | ±4.8% | 10.42–11.48 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 10.84 | ±5.5% | 10.24–11.44 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 10.90 | ±6.1% | 10.24–11.56 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 11.13 | ±5.9% | 10.47–11.79 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.6% | +0.4% | 区间内 | 10.84 → 10.88 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.3% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 10.90 → 10.88 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.5% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 11.13 → 10.88 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.4% | -1.4% | 区间内 | 11.04 → 10.88 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.4% | -0.3% | 区间内 | 10.91 → 10.88 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | -2.3% | 区间内 | 11.13 → 10.88 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.6% | -4.9% | 区间外 | 11.44 → 10.88 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.8% | -5.1% | 区间外 | 11.47 → 10.88 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | -4.9% | 区间内 | 11.44 → 10.88 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | -3.9% | 区间内 | 11.32 → 10.88 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.5% | -6.1% | 区间内 | 11.59 → 10.88 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.5% | -6.1% | 区间内 | 11.59 → 10.88 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.6% | -6.5% | 区间内 | 11.64 → 10.88 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.9% | +3.4% | 区间内 | 10.52 → 10.88 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | +6.0% | 区间内 | 10.26 → 10.88 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.6% | +6.5% | 区间内 | 10.22 → 10.88 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.6% | +6.9% | 区间内 | 10.18 → 10.88 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.5% | +2.6% | 区间内 | 10.60 → 10.88 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.2% | +2.9% | 区间内 | 10.57 → 10.88 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.8% | +4.9% | 区间内 | 10.37 → 10.88 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.0% | +2.7% | 区间内 | 10.59 → 10.88 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.2% | +2.9% | 区间内 | 10.57 → 10.88 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.6% | +1.3% | 区间内 | 10.74 → 10.88 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.6% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 10.92 → 10.88 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.3% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 10.85 → 10.88 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.4% | +5.7% | 区间内 | 10.29 → 10.88 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.3% | +5.0% | 区间内 | 10.36 → 10.88 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.7% | +3.0% | 区间内 | 10.56 → 10.88 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.9% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 11.04 → 11.00 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.9% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 10.91 → 11.00 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.6% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 11.13 → 11.00 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.5% | -3.8% | 区间外 | 11.44 → 11.00 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.3% | -4.1% | 区间外 | 11.47 → 11.00 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.8% | -3.8% | 区间外 | 11.44 → 11.00 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | -2.8% | 区间内 | 11.32 → 11.00 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.7% | -5.1% | 区间内 | 11.59 → 11.00 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.7% | -5.1% | 区间内 | 11.59 → 11.00 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | -5.5% | 区间内 | 11.64 → 11.00 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.9% | +4.6% | 区间内 | 10.52 → 11.00 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±16.3% | +7.2% | 区间内 | 10.26 → 11.00 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.2% | +7.6% | 区间外 | 10.22 → 11.00 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.4% | +8.1% | 区间内 | 10.18 → 11.00 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.3% | +3.8% | 区间内 | 10.60 → 11.00 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.4% | +4.1% | 区间内 | 10.57 → 11.00 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.4% | +6.1% | 区间内 | 10.37 → 11.00 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | +3.9% | 区间内 | 10.59 → 11.00 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | +4.1% | 区间内 | 10.57 → 11.00 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.4% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 10.74 → 11.00 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±17.0% | +0.7% | 区间内 | 10.92 → 11.00 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±18.6% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 10.85 → 11.00 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.3% | +6.9% | 区间内 | 10.29 → 11.00 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | +6.2% | 区间内 | 10.36 → 11.00 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.1% | +4.2% | 区间内 | 10.56 → 11.00 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.0% | -1.4% | 区间外 | 11.44 → 11.28 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.1% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 11.32 → 11.28 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±11.3% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 11.59 → 11.28 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±11.3% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 11.59 → 11.28 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.2% | -3.1% | 区间内 | 11.64 → 11.28 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.5% | +7.2% | 区间外 | 10.52 → 11.28 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.6% | +9.9% | 区间外 | 10.26 → 11.28 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.