BBY historial de movimiento esperado Best Buy Co., Inc.
Cada día de negociación, tras el cierre, registramos lo que el mercado de opciones estaba descontando — por vencimiento, antes de conocerse el resultado. Cuando un vencimiento finaliza, el resultado se anota junto a la estimación original. Las estimaciones nunca se revisan a posteriori. Cómo interpretar estas estadísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparaciones resueltas121
Cierre dentro del rango62%
|Real| por debajo de lo esperado62%
Movimiento esperado promedio±5.8%
Movimiento |real| promedio4.4%
Error medio abs.3.3pt
Implícita vs realizada, por vencimiento
Para cada vencimiento: el contorno ámbar es el movimiento esperado registrado más cerca del vencimiento; la barra sólida es lo que la acción hizo realmente. Los valores con signo aparecen bajo las barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Registrado actualmente (pendiente de resultado)
| Instantánea | Vence | DTE | Precio entonces | Movimiento esperado | Rango | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 91.13 | ±3.9% | 87.56–94.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 92.63 | ±4.7% | 88.31–96.95 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 89.10 | ±5.1% | 84.53–93.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 87.96 | ±5.3% | 83.26–92.66 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 87.01 | ±5.8% | 81.94–92.08 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 88.40 | ±6.0% | 83.12–93.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 84.59 | ±6.9% | 78.74–90.44 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 84.85 | ±6.2% | 79.58–90.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 87.39 | ±7.0% | 81.31–93.47 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 87.96 | ±7.5% | 81.36–94.56 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 87.70 | ±7.3% | 81.28–94.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 94.82 | ±8.0% | 87.22–102.42 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 93.22 | ±8.6% | 85.22–101.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 94.00 | ±8.5% | 86.00–102.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 94.11 | ±8.7% | 85.91–102.31 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 94.56 | ±8.9% | 86.11–103.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 93.23 | ±9.2% | 84.63–101.83 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 93.28 | ±8.9% | 84.98–101.58 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 94.66 | ±9.0% | 86.11–103.21 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 90.72 | ±9.7% | 81.92–99.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 87.80 | ±10.0% | 79.00–96.59 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 88.03 | ±9.7% | 79.48–96.58 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 89.50 | ±10.2% | 80.40–98.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 90.27 | ±10.8% | 80.55–100.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 89.98 | ±10.1% | 80.86–99.11 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 87.30 | ±10.4% | 78.20–96.40 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 91.13 | ±5.7% | 85.98–96.28 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 92.63 | ±6.4% | 86.68–98.58 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 89.10 | ±6.3% | 83.45–94.75 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 87.96 | ±6.1% | 82.56–93.36 | em-1.0 |
Instantáneas resueltas
| Instantánea | Vencido | Esperado | Real | ¿Dentro del rango? | Precio → cierre |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.9% | +0.0% | dentro | 92.63 → 92.63 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.6% | +4.0% | fuera | 89.10 → 92.63 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.4% | +5.3% | fuera | 87.96 → 92.63 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | +6.5% | fuera | 87.01 → 92.63 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.6% | +4.8% | fuera | 88.40 → 92.63 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | +9.5% | fuera | 84.59 → 92.63 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | +9.2% | fuera | 84.85 → 92.63 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.5% | +6.0% | fuera | 87.39 → 92.63 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | +5.3% | fuera | 87.96 → 92.63 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | +5.6% | dentro | 87.70 → 92.63 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.1% | -2.3% | dentro | 94.82 → 92.63 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.5% | -0.6% | dentro | 93.22 → 92.63 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | -1.5% | dentro | 94.00 → 92.63 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.9% | -1.6% | dentro | 94.11 → 92.63 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | -2.0% | dentro | 94.56 → 92.63 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.4% | -0.6% | dentro | 93.23 → 92.63 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.2% | -0.7% | dentro | 93.28 → 92.63 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.3% | -2.1% | dentro | 94.66 → 92.63 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.4% | +2.1% | dentro | 90.72 → 92.63 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.5% | +5.5% | dentro | 87.80 → 92.63 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.0% | +5.2% | dentro | 88.03 → 92.63 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.2% | +3.5% | dentro | 89.50 → 92.63 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.1% | +2.6% | dentro | 90.27 → 92.63 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.2% | +2.9% | dentro | 89.98 → 92.63 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.6% | +6.1% | dentro | 87.30 → 92.63 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.1% | +6.5% | dentro | 87.01 → 92.63 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | +14.9% | fuera | 80.64 → 92.63 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | +15.6% | fuera | 80.10 → 92.63 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.2% | +0.0% | dentro | 87.01 → 87.01 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | -1.6% | dentro | 88.40 → 87.01 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.6% | +2.9% | fuera | 84.59 → 87.01 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | +2.5% | dentro | 84.85 → 87.01 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.6% | -0.4% | dentro | 87.39 → 87.01 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.8% | -1.1% | dentro | 87.96 → 87.01 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | -0.8% | dentro | 87.70 → 87.01 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | -8.2% | fuera | 94.82 → 87.01 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | -6.7% | fuera | 93.22 → 87.01 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | -7.4% | fuera | 94.00 → 87.01 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -7.5% | fuera | 94.11 → 87.01 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | -8.0% | fuera | 94.56 → 87.01 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.6% | -6.7% | dentro | 93.23 → 87.01 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.3% | -6.7% | dentro | 93.28 → 87.01 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.2% | -8.1% | fuera | 94.66 → 87.01 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.6% | -4.1% | dentro | 90.72 → 87.01 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.3% | -0.9% | dentro | 87.80 → 87.01 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.0% | -1.2% | dentro | 88.03 → 87.01 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.8% | -2.8% | dentro | 89.50 → 87.01 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.5% | -3.6% | dentro | 90.27 → 87.01 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.6% | -3.3% | dentro | 89.98 → 87.01 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.1% | -0.3% | dentro | 87.30 → 87.01 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.0% | +0.0% | dentro | 87.01 → 87.01 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.1% | +7.9% | dentro | 80.64 → 87.01 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.2% | +8.6% | dentro | 80.10 → 87.01 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.1% | +0.0% | dentro | 87.96 → 87.97 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.9% | +0.3% | dentro | 87.70 → 87.97 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.7% | -7.2% | fuera | 94.82 → 87.97 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.0% | -5.6% | fuera | 93.22 → 87.97 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.5% | -6.4% | fuera | 94.00 → 87.97 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.5% | -6.5% | fuera | 94.11 → 87.97 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.6% | -7.0% | fuera | 94.56 → 87.97 |
Los resultados comparan el rango registrado con el precio de cierre en el día de expiración. La versión del método se muestra por fila cuando difiere; actual: em-1.0.