BAC histórico de movimento esperado Bank of America Corporation
A cada dia útil, após o fechamento, registramos o que o mercado de opções estava precificando — por expiração, antes de o resultado ser conhecido. Quando uma expiração passa, o resultado é registrado ao lado da estimativa original. As estimativas nunca são revisadas após o fato. Como interpretar estas estatísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparações resolvidas121
Fechar dentro do intervalo33%
|Real| abaixo do esperado32%
Movimento esperado médio±3.8%
Movimento |real| médio7.4%
Erro médio absoluto4.3pt
Implícita vs. realizada, por vencimento
Para cada expiração: o contorno âmbar é o movimento esperado registrado mais próximo do vencimento; a barra sólida é o que a ação realmente fez. Os valores com sinal aparecem abaixo das barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Atualmente registado (a aguardar resultado)
| Snapshot | Expira | DTE | Spot na época | Movimento esperado | Intervalo | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 50.39 | ±2.4% | 49.20–51.58 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 51.40 | ±2.8% | 49.98–52.82 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 51.24 | ±3.3% | 49.54–52.94 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 52.70 | ±4.7% | 50.24–55.16 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 54.31 | ±5.0% | 51.62–57.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 53.57 | ±5.2% | 50.78–56.35 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 53.60 | ±5.3% | 50.78–56.41 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 54.12 | ±5.0% | 51.40–56.84 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 54.13 | ±5.2% | 51.30–56.97 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 53.79 | ±5.7% | 50.74–56.84 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 53.70 | ±6.0% | 50.48–56.92 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 56.36 | ±6.3% | 52.80–59.92 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 56.34 | ±6.3% | 52.78–59.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 57.95 | ±6.0% | 54.46–61.45 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 57.71 | ±6.1% | 54.21–61.21 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 58.25 | ±6.3% | 54.58–61.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 57.80 | ±6.9% | 53.81–61.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 59.53 | ±6.7% | 55.53–63.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 59.57 | ±6.7% | 55.60–63.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 62.70 | ±6.7% | 58.48–66.92 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 62.54 | ±7.0% | 58.19–66.89 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 62.71 | ±7.1% | 58.24–67.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 62.43 | ±7.4% | 57.83–67.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 62.68 | ±7.1% | 58.24–67.11 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 62.65 | ±7.1% | 58.22–67.08 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 63.04 | ±7.0% | 58.62–67.45 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 50.39 | ±3.6% | 48.59–52.19 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 51.40 | ±4.1% | 49.31–53.48 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 51.24 | ±4.4% | 48.99–53.48 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 52.70 | ±5.5% | 49.81–55.59 | em-1.0 |
Snapshots encerrados
| Snapshot | Expirado | Esperado | Real | Dentro do intervalo? | Spot → fechamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.6% | -0.3% | dentro | 51.40 → 51.23 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.0% | -0.0% | dentro | 51.24 → 51.23 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | -2.8% | dentro | 52.70 → 51.23 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | -5.7% | fora | 54.31 → 51.23 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | -4.4% | dentro | 53.57 → 51.23 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | -4.4% | fora | 53.60 → 51.23 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | -5.3% | fora | 54.12 → 51.23 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | -5.4% | fora | 54.13 → 51.23 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | -4.8% | dentro | 53.79 → 51.23 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | -4.6% | dentro | 53.70 → 51.23 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | -9.1% | fora | 56.36 → 51.23 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | -9.1% | fora | 56.34 → 51.23 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.5% | -11.6% | fora | 57.95 → 51.23 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | -11.2% | fora | 57.71 → 51.23 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | -12.1% | fora | 58.25 → 51.23 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -11.4% | fora | 57.80 → 51.23 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | -13.9% | fora | 59.53 → 51.23 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | -14.0% | fora | 59.57 → 51.23 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | -18.3% | fora | 62.70 → 51.23 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | -18.1% | fora | 62.54 → 51.23 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -18.3% | fora | 62.71 → 51.23 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | -17.9% | fora | 62.43 → 51.23 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -18.3% | fora | 62.68 → 51.23 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -18.2% | fora | 62.65 → 51.23 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -18.7% | fora | 63.04 → 51.23 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | -18.2% | fora | 62.60 → 51.23 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | -17.4% | fora | 61.99 → 51.23 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -17.4% | fora | 62.01 → 51.23 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.6% | +0.0% | dentro | 54.31 → 54.32 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.4% | +1.4% | dentro | 53.57 → 54.32 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.7% | +1.3% | dentro | 53.60 → 54.32 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.8% | +0.4% | dentro | 54.12 → 54.32 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.2% | +0.3% | dentro | 54.13 → 54.32 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.7% | +1.0% | dentro | 53.79 → 54.32 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | +1.2% | dentro | 53.70 → 54.32 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | -3.6% | dentro | 56.36 → 54.32 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | -3.6% | dentro | 56.34 → 54.32 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.0% | -6.3% | fora | 57.95 → 54.32 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | -5.9% | fora | 57.71 → 54.32 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -6.7% | fora | 58.25 → 54.32 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -6.0% | fora | 57.80 → 54.32 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -8.8% | fora | 59.53 → 54.32 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -8.8% | fora | 59.57 → 54.32 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -13.4% | fora | 62.70 → 54.32 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -13.1% | fora | 62.54 → 54.32 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -13.4% | fora | 62.71 → 54.32 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.4% | -13.0% | fora | 62.43 → 54.32 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -13.3% | fora | 62.68 → 54.32 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -13.3% | fora | 62.65 → 54.32 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -13.8% | fora | 63.04 → 54.32 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.4% | -13.2% | fora | 62.60 → 54.32 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | -12.4% | fora | 61.99 → 54.32 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | -12.4% | fora | 62.01 → 54.32 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.5% | -0.1% | dentro | 53.79 → 53.75 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.4% | +0.1% | dentro | 53.70 → 53.75 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.4% | -4.6% | fora | 56.36 → 53.75 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.4% | -4.6% | fora | 56.34 → 53.75 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.2% | -7.2% | fora | 57.95 → 53.75 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.4% | -6.9% | fora | 57.71 → 53.75 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.8% | -7.7% | fora | 58.25 → 53.75 |
Os resultados comparam o intervalo registado com o preço de fecho no dia de expiração. A versão do método é indicada por linha quando difere; atual: em-1.0.