AZO 预期波动历史 AutoZone, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项43
收盘价处于区间内72%
|实际值| 低于预期值72%
平均预期波动幅度±6.2%
平均|实际|波动幅度5.6%
平均绝对误差2.8pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Nov 20 | 32 | 3,097.88 | ±7.7% | 2,860.23–3,335.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 3,120.59 | ±7.9% | 2,874.09–3,367.09 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 2,911.62 | ±8.1% | 2,676.37–3,146.87 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Nov 20 | 38 | 2,893.30 | ±8.1% | 2,660.30–3,126.30 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Nov 20 | 42 | 2,937.30 | ±8.4% | 2,689.95–3,184.65 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Nov 20 | 43 | 2,910.54 | ±9.0% | 2,648.14–3,172.94 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Nov 20 | 44 | 2,849.08 | ±8.9% | 2,594.73–3,103.43 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Nov 20 | 45 | 2,898.57 | ±9.1% | 2,635.62–3,161.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Nov 20 | 46 | 2,807.73 | ±9.1% | 2,552.23–3,063.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Nov 20 | 49 | 2,792.03 | ±9.4% | 2,530.43–3,053.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Nov 20 | 50 | 2,809.35 | ±9.7% | 2,535.75–3,082.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Nov 20 | 58 | 2,894.73 | ±10.3% | 2,596.13–3,193.33 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Nov 20 | 59 | 2,973.67 | ±11.0% | 2,645.42–3,301.92 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Nov 20 | 60 | 2,829.02 | ±13.1% | 2,459.12–3,198.92 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Nov 20 | 63 | 2,853.00 | ±12.7% | 2,491.95–3,214.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Nov 20 | 64 | 2,848.22 | ±12.7% | 2,487.17–3,209.27 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Dec 18 | 60 | 3,097.88 | ±11.1% | 2,755.23–3,440.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Dec 18 | 63 | 3,120.59 | ±11.5% | 2,762.49–3,478.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Dec 18 | 65 | 2,911.62 | ±11.5% | 2,577.52–3,245.72 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Dec 18 | 66 | 2,893.30 | ±11.6% | 2,559.00–3,227.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Dec 18 | 70 | 2,937.30 | ±11.7% | 2,594.90–3,279.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Dec 18 | 71 | 2,910.54 | ±11.8% | 2,567.14–3,253.94 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Dec 18 | 72 | 2,849.08 | ±12.3% | 2,497.38–3,200.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Dec 18 | 73 | 2,898.57 | ±12.1% | 2,547.72–3,249.42 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Dec 18 | 74 | 2,807.73 | ±12.3% | 2,461.43–3,154.03 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Dec 18 | 77 | 2,792.03 | ±12.5% | 2,442.83–3,141.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Dec 18 | 78 | 2,809.35 | ±12.8% | 2,450.05–3,168.65 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Dec 18 | 86 | 2,894.73 | ±13.1% | 2,516.63–3,272.83 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Dec 18 | 87 | 2,973.67 | ±14.1% | 2,553.17–3,394.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Dec 18 | 88 | 2,829.02 | ±15.5% | 2,390.92–3,267.12 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.7% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 3,120.59 → 3,120.59 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.2% | +7.2% | 区间外 | 2,911.62 → 3,120.59 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.5% | +7.9% | 区间外 | 2,893.30 → 3,120.59 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.3% | +6.2% | 区间外 | 2,937.30 → 3,120.59 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.6% | +7.2% | 区间外 | 2,910.54 → 3,120.59 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.8% | +9.5% | 区间外 | 2,849.08 → 3,120.59 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | +7.7% | 区间外 | 2,898.57 → 3,120.59 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | +11.1% | 区间外 | 2,807.73 → 3,120.59 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.7% | +11.8% | 区间外 | 2,792.03 → 3,120.59 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | +11.1% | 区间外 | 2,809.35 → 3,120.59 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | +7.8% | 区间外 | 2,894.73 → 3,120.59 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | +4.9% | 区间内 | 2,973.67 → 3,120.59 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.6% | +10.3% | 区间外 | 2,829.02 → 3,120.59 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | +9.4% | 区间内 | 2,853.00 → 3,120.59 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | +9.6% | 区间内 | 2,848.22 → 3,120.59 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | +8.1% | 区间内 | 2,887.85 → 3,120.59 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | +5.2% | 区间内 | 2,965.52 → 3,120.59 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.3% | +7.8% | 区间内 | 2,895.02 → 3,120.59 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.4% | +8.1% | 区间内 | 2,886.08 → 3,120.59 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | +8.0% | 区间内 | 2,888.28 → 3,120.59 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | +7.8% | 区间内 | 2,893.50 → 3,120.59 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | +5.1% | 区间内 | 2,969.12 → 3,120.59 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | +4.6% | 区间内 | 2,983.29 → 3,120.59 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.9% | +5.4% | 区间内 | 2,960.09 → 3,120.59 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.0% | +6.3% | 区间内 | 2,934.52 → 3,120.59 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | +6.3% | 区间内 | 2,934.68 → 3,120.59 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.9% | +5.8% | 区间内 | 2,949.68 → 3,120.59 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.0% | +5.4% | 区间内 | 2,961.96 → 3,120.59 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.7% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 2,853.00 → 2,855.31 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.7% | +0.2% | 区间内 | 2,848.22 → 2,855.31 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.5% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 2,887.85 → 2,855.31 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.4% | -3.7% | 区间外 | 2,965.52 → 2,855.31 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.5% | -1.4% | 区间内 | 2,895.02 → 2,855.31 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.7% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 2,886.08 → 2,855.31 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.1% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 2,888.28 → 2,855.31 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.5% | -1.3% | 区间内 | 2,893.50 → 2,855.31 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.6% | -3.8% | 区间内 | 2,969.12 → 2,855.31 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.8% | -4.3% | 区间内 | 2,983.29 → 2,855.31 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.9% | -3.5% | 区间内 | 2,960.09 → 2,855.31 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.4% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 2,934.52 → 2,855.31 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.5% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 2,934.68 → 2,855.31 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.5% | -3.2% | 区间内 | 2,949.68 → 2,855.31 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.8% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 2,961.96 → 2,855.31 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.