ASML geschiedenis verwachte beweging ASML Holding N.V.
Elke handelsdag na de sluiting leggen we vast wat de optiemarkt inprijst — per vervaldatum, voordat de uitkomst bekend is. Wanneer een vervaldatum passeert, wordt de uitkomst naast de oorspronkelijke schatting vermeld. Schattingen worden achteraf nooit herzien. Hoe deze statistieken te lezen · vastlegging sinds Aug 31, 2026
Vergelijkingen opgelost121
Sluiting binnen bandbreedte66%
|Werkelijk| onder verwacht66%
Gem. verwachte beweging±6.6%
Gem. |werkelijke| beweging4.9%
Gem. abs. fout3.8pt
Impliciet vs. gerealiseerd, per expiratie
Voor elke vervaldatum: de oranje omlijning is de expected move die het dichtst bij de vervaldatum is vastgelegd; de solide balk is wat het aandeel werkelijk heeft gedaan. Getekende waarden staan onder de balken vermeld.
verwacht (vastgelegd)werkelijk
Momenteel vastgelegd (uitkomst nog onbekend)
| Snapshot | Vervalt | DTE | Spot destijds | Expected move | Bereik | Methode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 1,653.00 | ±3.8% | 1,590.95–1,715.05 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 1,645.00 | ±4.8% | 1,566.80–1,723.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 1,649.00 | ±5.5% | 1,557.60–1,740.40 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 1,717.75 | ±6.8% | 1,601.50–1,834.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 1,783.07 | ±7.4% | 1,651.47–1,914.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 1,777.21 | ±7.7% | 1,640.61–1,913.81 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 1,804.96 | ±7.4% | 1,671.31–1,938.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 1,836.48 | ±7.8% | 1,693.63–1,979.33 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 1,860.00 | ±8.0% | 1,712.00–2,008.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 1,864.40 | ±8.7% | 1,702.50–2,026.30 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 1,808.06 | ±8.8% | 1,648.96–1,967.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 1,748.00 | ±10.8% | 1,560.00–1,936.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 1,745.00 | ±10.8% | 1,556.55–1,933.45 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 1,711.36 | ±10.8% | 1,525.81–1,896.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 1,673.00 | ±11.1% | 1,486.60–1,859.40 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 1,628.00 | ±10.9% | 1,451.00–1,805.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 1,603.00 | ±11.3% | 1,421.95–1,784.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 1,592.64 | ±11.5% | 1,409.84–1,775.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 1,583.50 | ±11.5% | 1,401.65–1,765.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 1,699.80 | ±11.8% | 1,498.70–1,900.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 1,688.14 | ±12.3% | 1,481.24–1,895.04 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 1,728.90 | ±12.5% | 1,512.00–1,945.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 1,771.76 | ±13.3% | 1,536.40–2,007.11 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 1,711.00 | ±12.8% | 1,492.40–1,929.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 1,709.50 | ±12.8% | 1,490.90–1,928.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 1,647.19 | ±12.1% | 1,447.19–1,847.19 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 1,653.00 | ±6.0% | 1,554.45–1,751.55 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 1,645.00 | ±6.6% | 1,535.90–1,754.10 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 1,649.00 | ±7.3% | 1,529.00–1,769.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 1,717.75 | ±7.7% | 1,586.10–1,849.40 | em-1.0 |
Vastgelegde snapshots
| Snapshot | Verlopen | Verwacht | Werkelijk | Binnen bereik? | Spot → slotkoers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.4% | -0.2% | binnen | 1,645.00 → 1,641.52 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | -0.5% | binnen | 1,649.00 → 1,641.52 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.4% | -4.4% | binnen | 1,717.75 → 1,641.52 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | -7.9% | buiten | 1,783.07 → 1,641.52 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.9% | -7.6% | buiten | 1,777.21 → 1,641.52 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -9.1% | buiten | 1,804.96 → 1,641.52 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -10.6% | buiten | 1,836.48 → 1,641.52 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.1% | -11.7% | buiten | 1,860.00 → 1,641.52 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.4% | -12.0% | buiten | 1,864.40 → 1,641.52 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.1% | -9.2% | buiten | 1,808.06 → 1,641.52 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | -6.1% | binnen | 1,748.00 → 1,641.52 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | -5.9% | binnen | 1,745.00 → 1,641.52 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.6% | -4.1% | binnen | 1,711.36 → 1,641.52 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.9% | -1.9% | binnen | 1,673.00 → 1,641.52 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | +0.8% | binnen | 1,628.00 → 1,641.52 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.4% | +2.4% | binnen | 1,603.00 → 1,641.52 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.5% | +3.1% | binnen | 1,592.64 → 1,641.52 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.4% | +3.7% | binnen | 1,583.50 → 1,641.52 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.7% | -3.4% | binnen | 1,699.80 → 1,641.52 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.2% | -2.8% | binnen | 1,688.14 → 1,641.52 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.5% | -5.1% | binnen | 1,728.90 → 1,641.52 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.3% | -7.4% | binnen | 1,771.76 → 1,641.52 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.0% | -4.1% | binnen | 1,711.00 → 1,641.52 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.8% | -4.0% | binnen | 1,709.50 → 1,641.52 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.6% | -0.3% | binnen | 1,647.19 → 1,641.52 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.7% | -2.3% | binnen | 1,680.65 → 1,641.52 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.7% | -1.6% | binnen | 1,669.00 → 1,641.52 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.0% | -3.2% | binnen | 1,696.01 → 1,641.52 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.3% | -0.2% | binnen | 1,783.07 → 1,780.34 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.1% | +0.2% | binnen | 1,777.21 → 1,780.34 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | -1.4% | binnen | 1,804.96 → 1,780.34 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | -3.1% | buiten | 1,836.48 → 1,780.34 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.2% | -4.3% | buiten | 1,860.00 → 1,780.34 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | -4.5% | buiten | 1,864.40 → 1,780.34 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -1.5% | binnen | 1,808.06 → 1,780.34 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.2% | +1.9% | binnen | 1,748.00 → 1,780.34 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.2% | +2.0% | binnen | 1,745.00 → 1,780.34 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.4% | +4.0% | binnen | 1,711.36 → 1,780.34 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.7% | +6.4% | binnen | 1,673.00 → 1,780.34 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.7% | +9.4% | buiten | 1,628.00 → 1,780.34 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.4% | +11.1% | buiten | 1,603.00 → 1,780.34 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.6% | +11.8% | buiten | 1,592.64 → 1,780.34 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.6% | +12.4% | buiten | 1,583.50 → 1,780.34 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.7% | +4.7% | binnen | 1,699.80 → 1,780.34 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.4% | +5.5% | binnen | 1,688.14 → 1,780.34 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | +3.0% | binnen | 1,728.90 → 1,780.34 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.5% | +0.5% | binnen | 1,771.76 → 1,780.34 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.0% | +4.1% | binnen | 1,711.00 → 1,780.34 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.0% | +4.1% | binnen | 1,709.50 → 1,780.34 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | +8.1% | binnen | 1,647.19 → 1,780.34 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.9% | +5.9% | binnen | 1,680.65 → 1,780.34 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | +6.7% | binnen | 1,669.00 → 1,780.34 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.3% | +5.0% | binnen | 1,696.01 → 1,780.34 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.5% | +0.2% | binnen | 1,864.40 → 1,867.31 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.9% | +3.3% | buiten | 1,808.06 → 1,867.31 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.5% | +6.8% | buiten | 1,748.00 → 1,867.31 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.6% | +7.0% | buiten | 1,745.00 → 1,867.31 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.8% | +9.1% | buiten | 1,711.36 → 1,867.31 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.2% | +11.6% | buiten | 1,673.00 → 1,867.31 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.3% | +14.7% | buiten | 1,628.00 → 1,867.31 |
Uitkomsten vergelijken de geregistreerde bandbreedte met de slotkoers op de expiratiedag. De methodversie wordt per rij weergegeven waar deze afwijkt; huidig: em-1.0.