AMT 预期波动历史 American Tower Corporation
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项15
收盘价处于区间内87%
|实际值| 低于预期值87%
平均预期波动幅度±3.2%
平均|实际|波动幅度1.3%
平均绝对误差2.0pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 185.27 | ±0.8% | 183.77–186.77 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 179.40 | ±1.8% | 176.22–182.57 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 179.43 | ±2.4% | 175.21–183.66 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 182.24 | ±3.3% | 176.14–188.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 166.73 | ±3.3% | 161.25–172.21 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 166.18 | ±3.2% | 160.78–171.58 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 164.78 | ±3.7% | 158.63–170.93 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 162.26 | ±3.5% | 156.61–167.91 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 162.20 | ±4.3% | 155.22–169.18 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 161.26 | ±4.4% | 154.16–168.36 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 175.25 | ±4.9% | 166.60–183.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 174.50 | ±5.4% | 165.15–183.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 174.08 | ±5.1% | 165.23–182.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 175.37 | ±5.4% | 165.97–184.76 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 175.56 | ±6.1% | 164.86–186.26 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 178.32 | ±6.0% | 167.57–189.07 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 177.48 | ±6.1% | 166.68–188.28 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 175.28 | ±6.1% | 164.62–185.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 177.88 | ±6.6% | 166.12–189.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 173.59 | ±6.9% | 161.64–185.54 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 176.45 | ±6.6% | 164.80–188.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 178.66 | ±7.3% | 165.66–191.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 175.85 | ±7.1% | 163.45–188.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 175.85 | ±7.1% | 163.45–188.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 177.82 | ±7.1% | 165.12–190.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 172.85 | ±8.0% | 159.10–186.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 175.37 | ±7.3% | 162.52–188.22 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 175.86 | ±7.3% | 163.06–188.66 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 185.27 | ±7.7% | 171.02–199.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 179.40 | ±8.1% | 164.95–193.85 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±0.5% | -0.8% | 区间外 | 175.37 → 173.98 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.6% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 175.56 → 173.98 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.0% | -2.4% | 区间外 | 178.32 → 173.98 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.4% | -2.0% | 区间内 | 177.48 → 173.98 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.2% | -0.7% | 区间内 | 175.28 → 173.98 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.9% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 177.88 → 173.98 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.4% | +0.2% | 区间内 | 173.59 → 173.98 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.1% | -1.4% | 区间内 | 176.45 → 173.98 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.2% | -2.6% | 区间内 | 178.66 → 173.98 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.7% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 175.85 → 173.98 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.7% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 175.85 → 173.98 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.0% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 177.82 → 173.98 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.2% | +0.7% | 区间内 | 172.85 → 173.98 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.3% | -0.8% | 区间内 | 175.37 → 173.98 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.4% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 175.86 → 173.98 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.