AMD 预期波动历史 Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026

已解决的比较项1

收盘价处于区间内100%

|实际值| 低于预期值100%

平均预期波动幅度±0.5%

平均|实际|波动幅度0.1%

平均绝对误差0.4pt

隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日

每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。

预期（已记录）实际

已记录（等待结果）

快照	到期时间	DTE	当时现货价	预期涨跌幅	区间	方法
Sep 02	Sep 02	0	457.08	±0.5%	454.62–459.54	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 02	1	459.76	±2.2%	449.51–470.01	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 02	2	470.20	±2.9%	456.50–483.90	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 04	2	457.08	±3.2%	442.33–471.83	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 04	3	459.76	±3.9%	441.94–477.59	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 04	4	470.20	±4.4%	449.55–490.85	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 09	7	457.08	±4.7%	435.75–478.40	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 09	8	459.76	±5.2%	435.96–483.56	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 09	9	470.20	±5.5%	444.52–495.88	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 11	9	457.08	±5.7%	430.83–483.33	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 11	10	459.76	±6.1%	431.79–487.74	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 11	11	470.20	±6.4%	440.00–500.40	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 14	12	457.08	±6.3%	428.50–485.65	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 14	13	459.76	±6.7%	429.14–490.39	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 14	14	470.20	±6.8%	438.15–502.25	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 16	14	457.08	±6.9%	425.36–488.81	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 16	15	459.76	±7.2%	426.51–493.01	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 18	16	457.08	±7.9%	420.95–493.20	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 18	17	459.76	±8.2%	422.01–497.51	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 18	18	470.20	±8.4%	430.48–509.93	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 25	23	457.08	±9.4%	414.11–500.06	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 25	24	459.76	±9.8%	414.64–504.89	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 25	25	470.20	±9.9%	423.57–516.83	em-1.0
Sep 02	Oct 02	30	457.08	±10.8%	407.68–506.48	em-1.0
Sep 01	Oct 02	31	459.76	±11.3%	407.89–511.64	em-1.0
Aug 31	Oct 02	32	470.20	±11.4%	416.50–523.90	em-1.0
Sep 02	Oct 09	37	457.08	±12.1%	401.98–512.18	em-1.0
Sep 01	Oct 09	38	459.76	±12.3%	403.14–516.39	em-1.0
Aug 31	Oct 09	39	470.20	±12.4%	411.82–528.58	em-1.0
Sep 02	Oct 16	44	457.08	±13.3%	396.43–517.73	em-1.0

快照	已到期	预期值	实际值	在区间内？	现货价 → 收盘价
Aug 31, 2026	Aug 31	±0.5%	+0.1%	区间内	470.20 → 470.72

结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.