AMD riwayat pergerakan yang diperkirakan Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
Setiap hari perdagangan setelah penutupan, kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi — per expirasi, sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Ketika suatu expirasi berlalu, hasilnya ditulis di samping estimasi awal. Estimasi tidak pernah direvisi setelah fakta terjadi. Cara membaca statistik ini · merekam sejak Aug 31, 2026
Perbandingan terselesaikan1
Tutup dalam rentang100%
|Aktual| di bawah ekspektasi100%
Rata-rata pergerakan yang diperkirakan±0.5%
Rata-rata pergerakan |aktual|0.1%
Rata-rata kesalahan absolut0.4pt
Implied vs realized, per kedaluwarsa
Untuk setiap expirasi: garis tepi berwarna kuning adalah pergerakan yang diharapkan yang dicatat paling dekat dengan expirasi; batang padat adalah pergerakan saham yang sebenarnya terjadi. Nilai bertanda dicetak di bawah batang.
ekspektasi (direkam)aktual
Sedang dicatat (menunggu hasil)
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | DTE | Spot saat itu | Pergerakan yang diharapkan | Rentang | Metode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 02 | Sep 02 | 0 | 457.08 | ±0.5% | 454.62–459.54 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 02 | 1 | 459.76 | ±2.2% | 449.51–470.01 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 02 | 2 | 470.20 | ±2.9% | 456.50–483.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 04 | 2 | 457.08 | ±3.2% | 442.33–471.83 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 04 | 3 | 459.76 | ±3.9% | 441.94–477.59 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 04 | 4 | 470.20 | ±4.4% | 449.55–490.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 09 | 7 | 457.08 | ±4.7% | 435.75–478.40 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 09 | 8 | 459.76 | ±5.2% | 435.96–483.56 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 09 | 9 | 470.20 | ±5.5% | 444.52–495.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 11 | 9 | 457.08 | ±5.7% | 430.83–483.33 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 11 | 10 | 459.76 | ±6.1% | 431.79–487.74 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 11 | 11 | 470.20 | ±6.4% | 440.00–500.40 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 14 | 12 | 457.08 | ±6.3% | 428.50–485.65 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 14 | 13 | 459.76 | ±6.7% | 429.14–490.39 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 14 | 14 | 470.20 | ±6.8% | 438.15–502.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 16 | 14 | 457.08 | ±6.9% | 425.36–488.81 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 16 | 15 | 459.76 | ±7.2% | 426.51–493.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 18 | 16 | 457.08 | ±7.9% | 420.95–493.20 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 18 | 17 | 459.76 | ±8.2% | 422.01–497.51 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 18 | 18 | 470.20 | ±8.4% | 430.48–509.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 25 | 23 | 457.08 | ±9.4% | 414.11–500.06 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 25 | 24 | 459.76 | ±9.8% | 414.64–504.89 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 25 | 25 | 470.20 | ±9.9% | 423.57–516.83 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 02 | 30 | 457.08 | ±10.8% | 407.68–506.48 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 02 | 31 | 459.76 | ±11.3% | 407.89–511.64 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 02 | 32 | 470.20 | ±11.4% | 416.50–523.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 09 | 37 | 457.08 | ±12.1% | 401.98–512.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 09 | 38 | 459.76 | ±12.3% | 403.14–516.39 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 09 | 39 | 470.20 | ±12.4% | 411.82–528.58 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 457.08 | ±13.3% | 396.43–517.73 | em-1.0 |
Snapshot yang telah diselesaikan
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | Diharapkan | Aktual | Dalam kisaran? | Spot → penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Aug 31 | ±0.5% | +0.1% | di dalam | 470.20 → 470.72 |
Hasil membandingkan rentang yang tercatat dengan harga penutupan pada hari kedaluwarsa. Versi metode ditampilkan per baris jika berbeda; saat ini: em-1.0.