AMC 预期波动历史 AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内88%
|实际值| 低于预期值88%
平均预期波动幅度±13.1%
平均|实际|波动幅度7.9%
平均绝对误差6.3pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 2.98 | ±7.4% | 2.76–3.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 2.88 | ±9.4% | 2.61–3.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 2.88 | ±11.1% | 2.56–3.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 3.07 | ±10.4% | 2.75–3.39 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 2.97 | ±11.9% | 2.62–3.33 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 2.88 | ±13.4% | 2.49–3.26 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 2.88 | ±13.4% | 2.50–3.27 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 2.95 | ±14.2% | 2.53–3.37 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 2.79 | ±16.3% | 2.33–3.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 2.78 | ±20.1% | 2.22–3.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 2.78 | ±18.5% | 2.27–3.29 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 2.94 | ±19.4% | 2.38–3.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 2.95 | ±19.3% | 2.38–3.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 2.87 | ±22.5% | 2.23–3.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 2.69 | ±17.7% | 2.21–3.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 2.71 | ±18.4% | 2.21–3.21 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 2.67 | ±18.2% | 2.19–3.15 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 2.53 | ±20.2% | 2.02–3.04 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 2.48 | ±20.4% | 1.98–2.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 2.48 | ±22.2% | 1.93–3.03 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 2.39 | ±22.4% | 1.85–2.92 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 2.48 | ±22.7% | 1.92–3.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 2.56 | ±22.9% | 1.98–3.15 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 2.66 | ±24.1% | 2.02–3.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 2.67 | ±24.0% | 2.03–3.31 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 2.56 | ±22.5% | 1.99–3.13 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 2.98 | ±11.4% | 2.64–3.32 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 2.88 | ±13.5% | 2.49–3.27 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 2.88 | ±14.9% | 2.45–3.31 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 3.07 | ±13.7% | 2.65–3.49 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.7% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 2.88 → 2.91 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 2.88 → 2.91 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | -5.2% | 区间内 | 3.07 → 2.91 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.2% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 2.97 → 2.91 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 2.88 → 2.91 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.9% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 2.88 → 2.91 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.0% | -1.4% | 区间内 | 2.95 → 2.91 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.3% | +4.3% | 区间内 | 2.79 → 2.91 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.0% | +4.7% | 区间内 | 2.78 → 2.91 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.4% | +4.7% | 区间内 | 2.78 → 2.91 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±17.5% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 2.94 → 2.91 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±17.5% | -1.4% | 区间内 | 2.95 → 2.91 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±19.0% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 2.87 → 2.91 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.2% | +8.2% | 区间内 | 2.69 → 2.91 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±17.3% | +7.4% | 区间内 | 2.71 → 2.91 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±17.8% | +9.0% | 区间内 | 2.67 → 2.91 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.8% | +15.0% | 区间内 | 2.53 → 2.91 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±17.9% | +17.3% | 区间内 | 2.48 → 2.91 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±18.6% | +17.4% | 区间内 | 2.48 → 2.91 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±22.4% | +21.8% | 区间内 | 2.39 → 2.91 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±20.1% | +17.1% | 区间内 | 2.48 → 2.91 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±21.1% | +13.7% | 区间内 | 2.56 → 2.91 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±22.7% | +9.4% | 区间内 | 2.66 → 2.91 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±22.6% | +8.9% | 区间内 | 2.67 → 2.91 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±21.7% | +13.7% | 区间内 | 2.56 → 2.91 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±21.7% | +9.8% | 区间内 | 2.65 → 2.91 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±21.0% | +13.2% | 区间内 | 2.57 → 2.91 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±23.1% | +11.1% | 区间内 | 2.62 → 2.91 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.5% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 2.97 → 2.98 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | +3.5% | 区间内 | 2.88 → 2.98 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | +3.5% | 区间内 | 2.88 → 2.98 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 2.95 → 2.98 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.9% | +6.8% | 区间内 | 2.79 → 2.98 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.4% | +7.2% | 区间内 | 2.78 → 2.98 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.8% | +7.2% | 区间内 | 2.78 → 2.98 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.8% | +1.2% | 区间内 | 2.94 → 2.98 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.7% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 2.95 → 2.98 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±16.9% | +3.8% | 区间内 | 2.87 → 2.98 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.3% | +10.8% | 区间内 | 2.69 → 2.98 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.9% | +10.0% | 区间内 | 2.71 → 2.98 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.0% | +11.6% | 区间内 | 2.67 → 2.98 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.8% | +17.8% | 区间外 | 2.53 → 2.98 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.3% | +20.2% | 区间外 | 2.48 → 2.98 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±16.3% | +20.3% | 区间外 | 2.48 → 2.98 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±17.6% | +24.7% | 区间外 | 2.39 → 2.98 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±17.7% | +19.9% | 区间外 | 2.48 → 2.98 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±19.3% | +16.4% | 区间内 | 2.56 → 2.98 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±20.1% | +12.0% | 区间内 | 2.66 → 2.98 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±20.0% | +11.5% | 区间内 | 2.67 → 2.98 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±17.8% | +16.4% | 区间内 | 2.56 → 2.98 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±19.6% | +12.5% | 区间内 | 2.65 → 2.98 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±20.6% | +16.0% | 区间内 | 2.57 → 2.98 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±20.4% | +13.7% | 区间内 | 2.62 → 2.98 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.8% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 2.78 → 2.77 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.9% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 2.78 → 2.77 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±12.1% | -5.9% | 区间内 | 2.94 → 2.77 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±12.0% | -6.1% | 区间内 | 2.95 → 2.77 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±13.2% | -3.5% | 区间内 | 2.87 → 2.77 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±12.3% | +3.0% | 区间内 | 2.69 → 2.77 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±12.9% | +2.2% | 区间内 | 2.71 → 2.77 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.