AMAT riwayat pergerakan yang diperkirakan Applied Materials, Inc.
Setiap hari perdagangan setelah penutupan, kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi — per expirasi, sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Ketika suatu expirasi berlalu, hasilnya ditulis di samping estimasi awal. Estimasi tidak pernah direvisi setelah fakta terjadi. Cara membaca statistik ini · merekam sejak Aug 31, 2026
Perbandingan terselesaikan121
Tutup dalam rentang55%
|Aktual| di bawah ekspektasi55%
Rata-rata pergerakan yang diperkirakan±8.0%
Rata-rata pergerakan |aktual|9.9%
Rata-rata kesalahan absolut5.3pt
Implied vs realized, per kedaluwarsa
Untuk setiap expirasi: garis tepi berwarna kuning adalah pergerakan yang diharapkan yang dicatat paling dekat dengan expirasi; batang padat adalah pergerakan saham yang sebenarnya terjadi. Nilai bertanda dicetak di bawah batang.
ekspektasi (direkam)aktual
Sedang dicatat (menunggu hasil)
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | DTE | Spot saat itu | Pergerakan yang diharapkan | Rentang | Metode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 414.60 | ±5.3% | 392.77–436.43 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 410.50 | ±6.2% | 384.85–436.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 445.60 | ±7.2% | 413.68–477.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 464.70 | ±7.7% | 428.82–500.57 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 507.77 | ±8.4% | 464.89–550.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 508.75 | ±9.1% | 462.27–555.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 520.45 | ±8.7% | 475.35–565.55 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 530.50 | ±8.7% | 484.23–576.77 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 542.90 | ±9.1% | 493.68–592.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 539.27 | ±10.1% | 484.75–593.80 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 528.17 | ±10.7% | 471.92–584.42 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 472.97 | ±12.0% | 416.25–529.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 472.66 | ±12.0% | 415.93–529.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 464.34 | ±12.7% | 405.39–523.29 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 443.00 | ±12.2% | 389.00–497.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 417.62 | ±12.3% | 366.39–468.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 416.50 | ±12.7% | 363.80–469.20 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 421.60 | ±13.0% | 366.77–476.42 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 426.30 | ±13.6% | 368.50–484.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 456.27 | ±14.0% | 392.52–520.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 455.64 | ±14.5% | 389.56–521.72 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 468.80 | ±15.2% | 397.43–540.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 473.30 | ±15.8% | 398.68–547.92 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 454.94 | ±15.4% | 384.76–525.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 454.50 | ±15.4% | 384.32–524.67 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 435.28 | ±14.7% | 371.40–499.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 414.60 | ±7.9% | 381.95–447.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 410.50 | ±8.7% | 374.75–446.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 445.60 | ±9.1% | 404.98–486.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 464.70 | ±9.3% | 421.32–508.07 | em-1.0 |
Snapshot yang telah diselesaikan
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | Diharapkan | Aktual | Dalam kisaran? | Spot → penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.5% | -0.3% | di dalam | 410.50 → 409.29 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | -8.1% | di luar | 445.60 → 409.29 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.4% | -11.9% | di luar | 464.70 → 409.29 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -19.4% | di luar | 507.77 → 409.29 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | -19.6% | di luar | 508.75 → 409.29 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | -21.4% | di luar | 520.45 → 409.29 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | -22.8% | di luar | 530.50 → 409.29 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.4% | -24.6% | di luar | 542.90 → 409.29 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.9% | -24.1% | di luar | 539.27 → 409.29 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.9% | -22.5% | di luar | 528.17 → 409.29 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.2% | -13.5% | di luar | 472.97 → 409.29 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.2% | -13.4% | di luar | 472.66 → 409.29 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.3% | -11.9% | di luar | 464.34 → 409.29 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.0% | -7.6% | di dalam | 443.00 → 409.29 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.0% | -2.0% | di dalam | 417.62 → 409.29 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.6% | -1.7% | di dalam | 416.50 → 409.29 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.6% | -2.9% | di dalam | 421.60 → 409.29 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.5% | -4.0% | di dalam | 426.30 → 409.29 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.7% | -10.3% | di dalam | 456.27 → 409.29 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.2% | -10.2% | di dalam | 455.64 → 409.29 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.6% | -12.7% | di dalam | 468.80 → 409.29 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.5% | -13.5% | di dalam | 473.30 → 409.29 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.4% | -10.0% | di dalam | 454.94 → 409.29 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.4% | -9.9% | di dalam | 454.50 → 409.29 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.5% | -6.0% | di dalam | 435.28 → 409.29 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.9% | -6.5% | di dalam | 437.61 → 409.29 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.0% | -7.6% | di dalam | 443.05 → 409.29 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.3% | -10.6% | di dalam | 458.00 → 409.29 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.3% | -0.1% | di dalam | 507.77 → 507.03 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.6% | -0.3% | di dalam | 508.75 → 507.03 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | -2.6% | di dalam | 520.45 → 507.03 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.4% | -4.4% | di luar | 530.50 → 507.03 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | -6.6% | di luar | 542.90 → 507.03 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -6.0% | di luar | 539.27 → 507.03 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | -4.0% | di dalam | 528.17 → 507.03 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.0% | +7.2% | di dalam | 472.97 → 507.03 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.1% | +7.3% | di dalam | 472.66 → 507.03 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.1% | +9.2% | di luar | 464.34 → 507.03 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.9% | +14.5% | di luar | 443.00 → 507.03 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.3% | +21.4% | di luar | 417.62 → 507.03 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.8% | +21.7% | di luar | 416.50 → 507.03 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.0% | +20.3% | di luar | 421.60 → 507.03 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.5% | +18.9% | di luar | 426.30 → 507.03 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.9% | +11.1% | di luar | 456.27 → 507.03 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.8% | +11.3% | di dalam | 455.64 → 507.03 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.2% | +8.2% | di dalam | 468.80 → 507.03 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.7% | +7.1% | di dalam | 473.30 → 507.03 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.6% | +11.4% | di dalam | 454.94 → 507.03 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.7% | +11.6% | di dalam | 454.50 → 507.03 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.1% | +16.5% | di luar | 435.28 → 507.03 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.4% | +15.9% | di luar | 437.61 → 507.03 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.6% | +14.4% | di luar | 443.05 → 507.03 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.9% | +10.7% | di dalam | 458.00 → 507.03 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.3% | +0.1% | di dalam | 539.27 → 540.04 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.5% | +2.2% | di dalam | 528.17 → 540.04 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.2% | +14.2% | di luar | 472.97 → 540.04 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.2% | +14.3% | di luar | 472.66 → 540.04 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.3% | +16.3% | di luar | 464.34 → 540.04 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.4% | +21.9% | di luar | 443.00 → 540.04 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.7% | +29.3% | di luar | 417.62 → 540.04 |
Hasil membandingkan rentang yang tercatat dengan harga penutupan pada hari kedaluwarsa. Versi metode ditampilkan per baris jika berbeda; saat ini: em-1.0.