ALLY 予想変動幅の履歴 Ally Financial Inc.
毎取引日の引け後、結果が判明する前の各満期日について、オプション市場が織り込んでいた価格を記録します。満期日が経過すると、実際の結果が当初の推定値の横に記録されます。推定値は事後に修正されることはありません。 これらの統計の見方 · 記録開始： Aug 31, 2026
比較解決済み43
レンジ内で引ける42%
|実績値| が予想値を下回る42%
平均予想変動幅±5.0%
平均｜実績｜変動幅5.9%
平均絶対誤差2.5pt
インプライドと実現の比較、限月別
各満期日について、琥珀色の枠線は満期日直前に記録されたインプライド・ムーブ、塗りつぶされたバーは株価の実際の動きを示します。符号付きの値がバーの下に表示されます。
予想値（記録済み）実績
現在記録中（結果待ち）
| スナップショット | 満期日 | DTE | 当時のスポット価格 | インプライド・ムーブ | レンジ | 手法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Nov 20 | 32 | 37.59 | ±8.2% | 34.52–40.66 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 37.68 | ±8.6% | 34.45–40.91 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 36.74 | ±9.1% | 33.41–40.06 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Nov 20 | 38 | 37.60 | ±8.9% | 34.25–40.95 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Nov 20 | 42 | 37.62 | ±8.8% | 34.32–40.92 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Nov 20 | 43 | 37.83 | ±9.6% | 34.18–41.48 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Nov 20 | 44 | 37.37 | ±9.0% | 34.02–40.72 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Nov 20 | 45 | 37.62 | ±9.7% | 33.97–41.27 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Nov 20 | 46 | 37.63 | ±9.5% | 34.05–41.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Nov 20 | 49 | 37.91 | ±9.7% | 34.23–41.59 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Nov 20 | 50 | 37.65 | ±9.4% | 34.12–41.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Nov 20 | 58 | 39.24 | ±10.0% | 35.31–43.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Nov 20 | 59 | 39.94 | ±10.0% | 35.94–43.94 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Nov 20 | 60 | 40.19 | ±10.4% | 35.99–44.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Nov 20 | 63 | 40.28 | ±10.5% | 36.06–44.51 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Nov 20 | 64 | 40.70 | ±10.3% | 36.50–44.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Nov 20 | 65 | 40.31 | ±11.1% | 35.84–44.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Nov 20 | 66 | 41.94 | ±10.3% | 37.64–46.24 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Nov 20 | 67 | 41.94 | ±10.3% | 37.64–46.24 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Nov 20 | 70 | 42.08 | ±10.8% | 37.55–46.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Nov 20 | 71 | 41.83 | ±10.7% | 37.35–46.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Nov 20 | 72 | 42.02 | ±10.6% | 37.56–46.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Nov 20 | 73 | 42.50 | ±11.0% | 37.83–47.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Nov 20 | 74 | 43.73 | ±10.4% | 39.18–48.28 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Nov 20 | 77 | 43.77 | ±10.4% | 39.23–48.33 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Nov 20 | 78 | 43.59 | ±10.6% | 38.99–48.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Nov 20 | 79 | 42.80 | ±10.9% | 38.16–47.45 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Nov 20 | 80 | 41.85 | ±10.6% | 37.43–46.28 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Nov 20 | 81 | 42.21 | ±10.6% | 37.74–46.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Dec 18 | 60 | 37.59 | ±9.9% | 33.87–41.31 | em-1.0 |
確定済みスナップショット
| スナップショット | 満期済み | 予想 | 実績値 | レンジ内？ | スポット → 終値 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.1% | +0.0% | レンジ内 | 37.68 → 37.68 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.8% | +2.6% | レンジ内 | 36.74 → 37.68 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.3% | +0.2% | レンジ内 | 37.60 → 37.68 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | +0.2% | レンジ内 | 37.62 → 37.68 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | -0.4% | レンジ内 | 37.83 → 37.68 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | +0.8% | レンジ内 | 37.37 → 37.68 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | +0.2% | レンジ内 | 37.62 → 37.68 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | +0.1% | レンジ内 | 37.63 → 37.68 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.2% | -0.6% | レンジ内 | 37.91 → 37.68 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | +0.1% | レンジ内 | 37.65 → 37.68 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | -4.0% | レンジ内 | 39.24 → 37.68 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | -5.7% | レンジ内 | 39.94 → 37.68 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.0% | -6.2% | レンジ外 | 40.19 → 37.68 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | -6.5% | レンジ内 | 40.28 → 37.68 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | -7.4% | レンジ外 | 40.70 → 37.68 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.1% | -6.5% | レンジ内 | 40.31 → 37.68 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.3% | -10.2% | レンジ外 | 41.94 → 37.68 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.3% | -10.2% | レンジ外 | 41.94 → 37.68 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | -10.5% | レンジ外 | 42.08 → 37.68 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.4% | -9.9% | レンジ外 | 41.83 → 37.68 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.4% | -10.3% | レンジ外 | 42.02 → 37.68 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.5% | -11.3% | レンジ外 | 42.50 → 37.68 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.3% | -13.8% | レンジ外 | 43.73 → 37.68 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.3% | -13.9% | レンジ外 | 43.77 → 37.68 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.1% | -13.6% | レンジ外 | 43.59 → 37.68 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | -12.0% | レンジ外 | 42.80 → 37.68 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | -10.0% | レンジ外 | 41.85 → 37.68 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | -10.7% | レンジ外 | 42.21 → 37.68 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.4% | -0.7% | レンジ内 | 40.28 → 40.00 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.8% | -1.7% | レンジ内 | 40.70 → 40.00 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.6% | -0.8% | レンジ内 | 40.31 → 40.00 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.5% | -4.6% | レンジ外 | 41.94 → 40.00 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.5% | -4.6% | レンジ外 | 41.94 → 40.00 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.4% | -4.9% | レンジ外 | 42.08 → 40.00 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.9% | -4.4% | レンジ外 | 41.83 → 40.00 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.7% | -4.8% | レンジ外 | 42.02 → 40.00 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.1% | -5.9% | レンジ外 | 42.50 → 40.00 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.1% | -8.5% | レンジ外 | 43.73 → 40.00 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.1% | -8.6% | レンジ外 | 43.77 → 40.00 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.3% | -8.2% | レンジ外 | 43.59 → 40.00 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.4% | -6.6% | レンジ外 | 42.80 → 40.00 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.5% | -4.4% | レンジ内 | 41.85 → 40.00 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.0% | -5.2% | レンジ外 | 42.21 → 40.00 |
結果は満期日の終値と記録されたレンジを比較したものです。手法バージョンが異なる場合は行ごとに表示されます。現在のバージョン： em-1.0.