AI earnings & options C3.ai, Inc.
Implied vs actual, past reports
Definitions →Solid bars: the actual two-session reaction around each report (signed value printed below). Amber outlines: the move options priced beforehand — recorded from August 2026 onward, so older reports show the actual only.
Report-by-report record
| Report date | EPS act / est | Revenue act / est | Reaction | Implied | IV30 before → after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 02, 2026 | -0.20 / -0.26 | 52.38M / 52.06M | — | ±13.2% | 78.5% → 60.8% |
| Jun 03, 2026 | -0.33 / -0.38 | 51.60M / 51.60M | -5.4% | not recorded | — |
| Feb 25, 2026 | -0.40 / -0.29 | 53.26M / 75.56M | -17.0% | not recorded | — |
| Dec 03, 2025 | -0.25 / -0.33 | 75.15M / 74.87M | +6.6% | not recorded | — |
| Sep 03, 2025 | -0.37 / -0.38 | 70.26M / 74.86M | -8.1% | not recorded | — |
| May 28, 2025 | -0.16 / -0.20 | 108.72M / 107.76M | +16.2% | not recorded | — |
| Feb 26, 2025 | -0.12 / -0.25 | 98.78M / 108.29M | -9.3% | not recorded | — |
| Dec 09, 2024 | -0.06 / -0.16 | 94.34M / 91.02M | +3.0% | not recorded | — |
| Sep 04, 2024 | -0.05 / -0.13 | 87.21M / 86.94M | -9.9% | not recorded | — |
| May 29, 2024 | -0.11 / -0.30 | 86.59M / 84.39M | +18.5% | not recorded | — |
| Feb 28, 2024 | -0.13 / -0.28 | 78.40M / 76.14M | +22.8% | not recorded | — |
| Dec 06, 2023 | -0.13 / -0.19 | 73.23M / 74.33M | -13.4% | not recorded | — |
| Sep 06, 2023 | -0.09 / -0.17 | 72.36M / 71.59M | -12.2% | not recorded | — |
| May 31, 2023 | -0.13 / -0.17 | 72.41M / 71.32M | -15.6% | not recorded | — |
| Mar 02, 2023 | -0.06 / -0.22 | 66.67M / 64.22M | +37.4% | not recorded | — |
| Dec 07, 2022 | -0.11 / -0.16 | 62.41M / 60.81M | +7.6% | not recorded | — |
Reaction = close before the report date to the close of the session after it (report timing is not published by the source; this two-session window contains the reaction either way). Implied moves are recorded live before each report from August 2026 onward — never reconstructed. Earnings data: Financial Modeling Prep.