AEP 预期波动历史 American Electric Power Company, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项43
收盘价处于区间内51%
|实际值| 低于预期值51%
平均预期波动幅度±3.6%
平均|实际|波动幅度3.3%
平均绝对误差1.6pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Nov 20 | 32 | 124.72 | ±5.1% | 118.37–131.07 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 127.14 | ±5.5% | 120.11–134.16 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 126.13 | ±5.6% | 119.00–133.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Nov 20 | 38 | 125.32 | ±5.5% | 118.47–132.17 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Nov 20 | 42 | 122.07 | ±6.3% | 114.42–129.72 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Nov 20 | 43 | 122.32 | ±5.9% | 115.05–129.59 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Nov 20 | 44 | 121.99 | ±6.3% | 114.31–129.66 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Nov 20 | 45 | 121.67 | ±6.3% | 114.02–129.32 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Nov 20 | 46 | 121.39 | ±6.1% | 113.99–128.79 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Nov 20 | 49 | 119.57 | ±6.6% | 111.69–127.44 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Nov 20 | 50 | 119.75 | ±6.3% | 112.15–127.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Nov 20 | 58 | 120.02 | ±6.7% | 111.97–128.07 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Nov 20 | 59 | 120.02 | ±6.7% | 111.97–128.07 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Nov 20 | 60 | 120.51 | ±6.6% | 112.51–128.51 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Nov 20 | 63 | 121.62 | ±7.1% | 112.97–130.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Nov 20 | 64 | 120.77 | ±7.0% | 112.27–129.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Nov 20 | 65 | 121.00 | ±7.3% | 112.15–129.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Nov 20 | 66 | 122.77 | ±7.3% | 113.77–131.77 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Nov 20 | 67 | 123.66 | ±7.4% | 114.56–132.76 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Nov 20 | 70 | 123.74 | ±7.4% | 114.54–132.94 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Nov 20 | 71 | 123.67 | ±7.6% | 114.32–133.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Nov 20 | 72 | 126.20 | ±7.5% | 116.75–135.65 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Nov 20 | 73 | 125.48 | ±7.5% | 116.03–134.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Nov 20 | 74 | 124.50 | ±8.0% | 114.53–134.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Nov 20 | 77 | 124.33 | ±7.6% | 114.88–133.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Nov 20 | 78 | 124.61 | ±7.5% | 115.26–133.96 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Nov 20 | 79 | 122.72 | ±7.8% | 113.17–132.28 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Nov 20 | 80 | 122.43 | ±7.8% | 112.83–132.03 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Nov 20 | 81 | 122.20 | ±8.0% | 112.40–132.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Dec 18 | 60 | 124.72 | ±6.9% | 116.17–133.27 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.0% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 127.14 → 127.14 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.8% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 126.13 → 127.14 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.8% | +1.5% | 区间内 | 125.32 → 127.14 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.8% | +4.2% | 区间外 | 122.07 → 127.14 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.1% | +3.9% | 区间外 | 122.32 → 127.14 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.0% | +4.2% | 区间外 | 121.99 → 127.14 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.0% | +4.5% | 区间外 | 121.67 → 127.14 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.9% | +4.7% | 区间外 | 121.39 → 127.14 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.8% | +6.3% | 区间外 | 119.57 → 127.14 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | +6.2% | 区间外 | 119.75 → 127.14 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | +5.9% | 区间外 | 120.02 → 127.14 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | +5.9% | 区间外 | 120.02 → 127.14 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.0% | +5.5% | 区间外 | 120.51 → 127.14 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | +4.5% | 区间外 | 121.62 → 127.14 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.6% | +5.3% | 区间外 | 120.77 → 127.14 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | +5.1% | 区间外 | 121.00 → 127.14 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | +3.6% | 区间内 | 122.77 → 127.14 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | +2.8% | 区间内 | 123.66 → 127.14 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | +2.7% | 区间内 | 123.74 → 127.14 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | +2.8% | 区间内 | 123.67 → 127.14 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | +0.7% | 区间内 | 126.20 → 127.14 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | +1.3% | 区间内 | 125.48 → 127.14 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.4% | +2.1% | 区间内 | 124.50 → 127.14 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | +2.3% | 区间内 | 124.33 → 127.14 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | +2.0% | 区间内 | 124.61 → 127.14 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.3% | +3.6% | 区间内 | 122.72 → 127.14 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | +3.8% | 区间内 | 122.43 → 127.14 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | +4.0% | 区间内 | 122.20 → 127.14 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.6% | -1.3% | 区间内 | 121.62 → 120.00 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.7% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 120.77 → 120.00 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.7% | -0.8% | 区间内 | 121.00 → 120.00 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.9% | -2.3% | 区间内 | 122.77 → 120.00 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.7% | -3.0% | 区间外 | 123.66 → 120.00 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.2% | -3.0% | 区间外 | 123.74 → 120.00 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.6% | -3.0% | 区间外 | 123.67 → 120.00 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.6% | -4.9% | 区间外 | 126.20 → 120.00 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.6% | -4.4% | 区间外 | 125.48 → 120.00 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.5% | -3.6% | 区间外 | 124.50 → 120.00 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.7% | -3.5% | 区间外 | 124.33 → 120.00 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.9% | -3.7% | 区间外 | 124.61 → 120.00 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.4% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 122.72 → 120.00 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.8% | -2.0% | 区间内 | 122.43 → 120.00 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.7% | -1.8% | 区间内 | 122.20 → 120.00 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.