ABNB riwayat pergerakan yang diperkirakan Airbnb, Inc.
Setiap hari perdagangan setelah penutupan, kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi — per expirasi, sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Ketika suatu expirasi berlalu, hasilnya ditulis di samping estimasi awal. Estimasi tidak pernah direvisi setelah fakta terjadi. Cara membaca statistik ini · merekam sejak Aug 31, 2026
Perbandingan terselesaikan93
Tutup dalam rentang49%
|Aktual| di bawah ekspektasi49%
Rata-rata pergerakan yang diperkirakan±4.7%
Rata-rata pergerakan |aktual|5.2%
Rata-rata kesalahan absolut3.0pt
Implied vs realized, per kedaluwarsa
Untuk setiap expirasi: garis tepi berwarna kuning adalah pergerakan yang diharapkan yang dicatat paling dekat dengan expirasi; batang padat adalah pergerakan saham yang sebenarnya terjadi. Nilai bertanda dicetak di bawah batang.
ekspektasi (direkam)aktual
Sedang dicatat (menunggu hasil)
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | DTE | Spot saat itu | Pergerakan yang diharapkan | Rentang | Metode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 173.70 | ±1.1% | 171.80–175.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 166.50 | ±2.5% | 162.31–170.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 164.79 | ±2.9% | 160.06–169.51 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 165.87 | ±3.3% | 160.34–171.41 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 163.07 | ±4.0% | 156.49–169.66 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 160.75 | ±4.2% | 154.05–167.45 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 160.39 | ±4.8% | 152.62–168.16 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 164.07 | ±4.8% | 156.15–172.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 162.10 | ±5.3% | 153.58–170.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 160.47 | ±5.4% | 151.77–169.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 162.50 | ±6.5% | 151.90–173.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 162.41 | ±6.5% | 151.81–173.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 165.89 | ±6.7% | 154.74–177.04 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 166.22 | ±7.1% | 154.47–177.97 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 165.31 | ±7.3% | 153.19–177.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 167.38 | ±7.7% | 154.56–180.21 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 168.32 | ±7.8% | 155.17–181.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 170.65 | ±7.5% | 157.90–183.40 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 170.19 | ±7.7% | 157.04–183.34 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 167.65 | ±8.4% | 153.57–181.72 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 169.63 | ±8.1% | 155.91–183.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 174.61 | ±8.6% | 159.66–189.56 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 181.94 | ±8.2% | 167.01–196.87 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 181.94 | ±8.2% | 167.01–196.87 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 185.25 | ±8.5% | 169.45–201.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 184.23 | ±8.5% | 168.60–199.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 182.96 | ±8.7% | 166.98–198.93 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 184.00 | ±8.3% | 168.70–199.30 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 173.70 | ±3.4% | 167.85–179.55 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 166.50 | ±4.6% | 158.82–174.18 | em-1.0 |
Snapshot yang telah diselesaikan
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | Diharapkan | Aktual | Dalam kisaran? | Spot → penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.7% | +0.0% | di dalam | 165.87 → 165.87 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.8% | +1.7% | di dalam | 163.07 → 165.87 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.1% | +3.2% | di luar | 160.75 → 165.87 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.7% | +3.4% | di luar | 160.39 → 165.87 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | +1.1% | di dalam | 164.07 → 165.87 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.6% | +2.3% | di dalam | 162.10 → 165.87 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | +3.4% | di dalam | 160.47 → 165.87 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.4% | +2.1% | di dalam | 162.50 → 165.87 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.4% | +2.1% | di dalam | 162.41 → 165.87 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | -0.0% | di dalam | 165.89 → 165.87 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | -0.2% | di dalam | 166.22 → 165.87 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.5% | +0.3% | di dalam | 165.31 → 165.87 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -0.9% | di dalam | 167.38 → 165.87 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.7% | -1.5% | di dalam | 168.32 → 165.87 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -2.8% | di dalam | 170.65 → 165.87 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -2.5% | di dalam | 170.19 → 165.87 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.5% | -1.1% | di dalam | 167.65 → 165.87 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.7% | -2.2% | di dalam | 169.63 → 165.87 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.6% | -5.0% | di dalam | 174.61 → 165.87 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.5% | -8.8% | di luar | 181.94 → 165.87 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.5% | -8.8% | di luar | 181.94 → 165.87 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.8% | -10.5% | di luar | 185.25 → 165.87 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.7% | -10.0% | di luar | 184.23 → 165.87 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.9% | -9.3% | di luar | 182.96 → 165.87 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.0% | -9.9% | di luar | 184.00 → 165.87 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.5% | +0.2% | di dalam | 162.10 → 162.43 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.6% | +1.2% | di dalam | 160.47 → 162.43 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.3% | -0.0% | di dalam | 162.50 → 162.43 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.3% | +0.0% | di dalam | 162.41 → 162.43 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.8% | -2.1% | di dalam | 165.89 → 162.43 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.2% | -2.3% | di dalam | 166.22 → 162.43 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.2% | -1.7% | di dalam | 165.31 → 162.43 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.4% | -3.0% | di dalam | 167.38 → 162.43 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.5% | -3.5% | di dalam | 168.32 → 162.43 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.6% | -4.8% | di dalam | 170.65 → 162.43 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.7% | -4.6% | di dalam | 170.19 → 162.43 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.0% | -3.1% | di dalam | 167.65 → 162.43 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.5% | -4.2% | di dalam | 169.63 → 162.43 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.7% | -7.0% | di luar | 174.61 → 162.43 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.3% | -10.7% | di luar | 181.94 → 162.43 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.3% | -10.7% | di luar | 181.94 → 162.43 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.0% | -12.3% | di luar | 185.25 → 162.43 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.2% | -11.8% | di luar | 184.23 → 162.43 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.4% | -11.2% | di luar | 182.96 → 162.43 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.8% | -11.7% | di luar | 184.00 → 162.43 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.7% | -3.1% | di luar | 162.50 → 157.47 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.7% | -3.0% | di luar | 162.41 → 157.47 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.3% | -5.1% | di luar | 165.89 → 157.47 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.4% | -5.3% | di luar | 166.22 → 157.47 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.8% | -4.7% | di luar | 165.31 → 157.47 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.3% | -5.9% | di luar | 167.38 → 157.47 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.7% | -6.4% | di luar | 168.32 → 157.47 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.4% | -7.7% | di luar | 170.65 → 157.47 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.3% | -7.5% | di luar | 170.19 → 157.47 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.2% | -6.1% | di luar | 167.65 → 157.47 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.1% | -7.2% | di luar | 169.63 → 157.47 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.6% | -9.8% | di luar | 174.61 → 157.47 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.4% | -13.4% | di luar | 181.94 → 157.47 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.4% | -13.4% | di luar | 181.94 → 157.47 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.2% | -15.0% | di luar | 185.25 → 157.47 |
Hasil membandingkan rentang yang tercatat dengan harga penutupan pada hari kedaluwarsa. Versi metode ditampilkan per baris jika berbeda; saat ini: em-1.0.