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단원 3 — 시장 읽기 · 레슨 6/6 ·

Why implied volatility builds before an earnings report, collapses after it, and how Options Band measures the reaction.

빠른 답변

Earnings reports are scheduled uncertainty. The market knows a stock is likely to jump on a known date, so options in expirations that span the report carry extra implied volatility — a priced-in earnings move sitting on top of ordinary day-to-day movement.

Once the report is out, that uncertainty resolves and the extra volatility drains from option prices quickly, usually within a session. The drop is known as volatility crush, and it happens whether the stock moves a lot or barely at all.

Upcoming reports, with the moves currently priced into their option chains, are listed on the earnings page.

자세히 보기

An expiration that spans a report has to price two things at once: normal drift on the ordinary days, plus one day expected to be anything but ordinary. That second part inflates the expected move and the implied volatility of near-dated options in the weeks before the date.

A worked example with round numbers:

The stock moved 1% against a priced move of 7.5%, and the straddle lost about half its value in a single session. Little of that came from the calendar — it came from implied volatility halving once the event passed. This is the mechanical reason option prices around earnings behave so differently from ordinary weeks.

Options Band measures each earnings reaction from the close before the report to the close after — two sessions — because the data source does not publish whether a company reports before the open or after the close. The convention, and what it does and does not capture, is documented at the earnings-reaction methodology page.

상세 내용

Formally, implied variance in an expiration spanning a report can be decomposed into ordinary diffusive variance plus an event variance attributable to the announcement. Short-dated expirations hold the least diffusive variance, so they show the event most clearly: annualized implied volatility in a two-day expiration spanning earnings can print far above the same stock's monthly figure without any inconsistency. That is a term structure effect, not a mispricing.

The main misconception is scoring the market on a single outcome. A post-report move smaller than the priced move does not mean the pricing was wrong — the expected move describes a distribution, and under the model's own assumptions a one-straddle range should contain the outcome only about 60% of the time. Options Band records each priced move before the report and scores it afterward; see the historical database methodology. Nor is the crush itself a defect: implied volatility falling after uncertainty resolves is the market repricing, not misbehaving.

Limitations: the two-session measurement window can include market-wide movement unrelated to the report, and delayed Cboe quotes mean the before-report straddle is a snapshot near the close rather than the final print.

The put/call ratio 다음 단원: Delta

교육용 콘텐츠 — 정보 제공 목적에 한하며, 투자 조언이 아닙니다. 업데이트됨 Sep 02, 2026.

관련 주제

경기소비재

ABNB · Airbnb, Inc.AMZN · Amazon.com, Inc.AZO · AutoZone, Inc.BABA · Alibaba Group Holding…BBY · Best Buy Co., Inc.BYD · Boyd Gaming CorporationCAVA · CAVA Group, Inc.CCL · Carnival Corporation & plc

ETF

ARKK · ARK Innovation ETFBITO · ProShares Bitcoin ETFDIA · State Street SPDR Dow…EEM · iShares MSCI Emerging…EFA · iShares MSCI EAFE ETFEWZ · iShares MSCI Brazil ETFFXI · iShares China Large-Cap ETFGDX · VanEck Gold Miners ETF

기술

AAPL · Apple Inc.ADBE · Adobe Inc.AI · C3.ai, Inc.AMAT · Applied Materials, Inc.AMD · Advanced Micro Device…APP · AppLovin CorporationARM · Arm Holdings plc Amer…ASML · ASML Holding N.V.

금융 서비스

AFRM · Affirm Holdings, Inc.ALL · The Allstate CorporationALLY · Ally Financial Inc.AXP · American Express CompanyBAC · Bank of America CorporationBLK · BlackRock, Inc.BX · Blackstone Inc.C · Citigroup Inc.

산업재

AAL · American Airlines Gro…BA · The Boeing CompanyCAT · Caterpillar Inc.CMI · Cummins Inc.DAL · Delta Air Lines, Inc.DE · Deere & CompanyEMR · Emerson Electric Co.ETN · Eaton Corporation plc

에너지

BKR · Baker Hughes CompanyCCJ · Cameco CorporationCOP · ConocoPhillipsCVX · Chevron CorporationDVN · Devon Energy CorporationENPH · Enphase Energy, Inc.EOG · EOG Resources, Inc.ET · Energy Transfer LP